OneGreenChip

Villain is running 19/13/4 over 200 hands. Really aggressive on the first two streets, but won't triple barrell (River AF = 0).

I like my lead out on the first street, and I think the call is OK. Then I lead the 2nd street, and he minraises me. I'm behind AA/KK/JJ/AK/QT, and drawing dead to the sets. I'm ahead of AQ/AT/QQ/TT.

The problem is that I expect the villain to play his entire range of hands with flop and turn bets. AA and JJ are fairly improbable at this point. AK/AQ/AT/KK/QQ/TT are more likely, and the first 4 choices would fit his actions well, but I've seen him Cbet and double barrell every board he's involved in. I just don't believe him. I call the turn and prepare to check/call the river, but he gives up.

I'm very happy with my decision to NOT lead the river, and just check/call. I might get a call from AQ, but not likely.

Likewise, I was very happy with my decision to check/fold the river here, tough to do with a turned two pair.
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I wish I was as proud of the next series

Villain is 57/17/1.4. Seems like a complete and total retard.

The Setup:

• Standard line, I couldn't believe what he showed up with.
• Next time I tangle with him, I decline to play a big pot. Fish sighting confirmed.
• Look at the river play. He's really, really not a good player. I'm salivating.
• I'm not in this hand, but I've closed all tables but two and am waiting to crush him.
• I make a terrible play here, against a player whom I know can't fold. He doesn't protect his TPGK against the draws out there? MADNESS. HAS to be a donk.

The Delivery

Don't get your hopes up. I finally get a hand to catch the fish, and I screw it all up. Watching the previous sequence of hands turned me into Wile E. Coyote. He has the brains, but hunger regularly overpowers his superior intellect.

Fuckin' roadrunner. This is such a horrible board for me, but I'd see this guy 3bet with suited connectors, call river bets with A high and missed flush draws, and generally donk off chips like mad. His willingness to get it all in on the scary flop should have alerted me.

But I was too hungry.