Wednesday, November 14, 2007
2000 Hands Later
Hey
I was playing excessively badly in the end of October. I decided to take a break, and not play until I had finished Professional No-Limit Hold 'Em. Err, bought it. Heh.
2/3s of the way through right now, and I really like it. I'm dubious about the value of SPRs as of yet -- I think people are pretty aware when they're in danger of committing their stack based on pre-flop action -- but I really enjoyed the Target SPR section re: how certain hands play better in terms of SPR ranges. The REM section is also invaluable. I plan on copying a certain bad-luck player in addressing my hands for Range, Equity, and Maximizing.
Hopefully by hardlining a mathematical approach now, I'll have a better 'feel' for it at the tables. Which is basically what people do for pot odds and implied odds right now...you have a good idea based on bet sized; certainly nobody is number crunching at the table. Let's do the number crunching here, now, and try to approximate later on, in the thick of the action.
Almost makes me want to hide my PAHud, and see how my assessment pan out against the hard data. Certainly, I'm always cognizant that the tools we use online to play retard our live skills. I'm not knocking PAHud, it's excellent, and a necessity for multitabling. One simply cannot keep track of the tendencies of 50 villains. Possibly the next time I'm single-tabling, I'll start hiding my stats, and rely on the pop-up window. Good plan.
Back to PNLHE. Since I've gotten the book, I've had a +1 BI day, and yesterday. God, yesterday. I sat a table with two big donks, and a shit-talking, positively tilted LAG player with a 700BB stack. Need me a piece of that action!
Here's a particular play of mine that I'm not sure about.
Hero: 101BB, Kd Ah
V1: 37BB
V2: 153BB
V3: 700BB
V3 raises 3.5BB. Hero reraises to 12BB. V1 reraises all-in, 37BB. V2 folds. V3 calls 37BB all-in. Hero raises 101BB all-in. V3 calls 101BB all in.
V3 shows TT, V1 shows 55, Hero shows AKo, board all blanks, V3 wins 239BB (- rake).
So did I make a bad call?
Ranges PF
V3(initial): 22+, ATo+, KQo+, QJo+ / V1: 55+, A7s+ / V3(final): 55-QQ, AQo+, KQs
Final Equity
(Hero: 35.96% vs V3: 36.96% vs V1: 28.01%)
Pretty goddamn close. Let's see what happens when I confine their ranges to pocket pairs only.
Ranges PF: V3(final): 77-QQ / V1: 55+ / Hero: AhKd
Final Equity: 33.3% / 32.3% / 34.3%
again, pretty goddamn close.
My ROI isn't awesome. 1/3 of the time, +239BB. 2/3 of the time, -101BB. So avg ROI is 36%. Invest 101BB to gain 36BB. Worth it?
Look at the sequence. UTG raise, I 3bet, SS 4bets all-in, UTG coldcalls (uh oh). I love my play with AA/KK, and that's what I was representing. Plenty of fold equity there, as V3 is superdeep.
Goddamn. This is too tough to do at work right now. Let's just say that I am ambivalent about my play, love the V1's play, and mildly dislike V3's play. He was definitely tiliting positively, hitting everything in sight, and counting on hitting everything. I guess I'd do it again.
I was playing excessively badly in the end of October. I decided to take a break, and not play until I had finished Professional No-Limit Hold 'Em. Err, bought it. Heh.
2/3s of the way through right now, and I really like it. I'm dubious about the value of SPRs as of yet -- I think people are pretty aware when they're in danger of committing their stack based on pre-flop action -- but I really enjoyed the Target SPR section re: how certain hands play better in terms of SPR ranges. The REM section is also invaluable. I plan on copying a certain bad-luck player in addressing my hands for Range, Equity, and Maximizing.
Hopefully by hardlining a mathematical approach now, I'll have a better 'feel' for it at the tables. Which is basically what people do for pot odds and implied odds right now...you have a good idea based on bet sized; certainly nobody is number crunching at the table. Let's do the number crunching here, now, and try to approximate later on, in the thick of the action.
Almost makes me want to hide my PAHud, and see how my assessment pan out against the hard data. Certainly, I'm always cognizant that the tools we use online to play retard our live skills. I'm not knocking PAHud, it's excellent, and a necessity for multitabling. One simply cannot keep track of the tendencies of 50 villains. Possibly the next time I'm single-tabling, I'll start hiding my stats, and rely on the pop-up window. Good plan.
Back to PNLHE. Since I've gotten the book, I've had a +1 BI day, and yesterday. God, yesterday. I sat a table with two big donks, and a shit-talking, positively tilted LAG player with a 700BB stack. Need me a piece of that action!
Here's a particular play of mine that I'm not sure about.
Hero: 101BB, Kd Ah
V1: 37BB
V2: 153BB
V3: 700BB
V3 raises 3.5BB. Hero reraises to 12BB. V1 reraises all-in, 37BB. V2 folds. V3 calls 37BB all-in. Hero raises 101BB all-in. V3 calls 101BB all in.
V3 shows TT, V1 shows 55, Hero shows AKo, board all blanks, V3 wins 239BB (- rake).
So did I make a bad call?
Ranges PF
V3(initial): 22+, ATo+, KQo+, QJo+ / V1: 55+, A7s+ / V3(final): 55-QQ, AQo+, KQs
Final Equity
(Hero: 35.96% vs V3: 36.96% vs V1: 28.01%)
Pretty goddamn close. Let's see what happens when I confine their ranges to pocket pairs only.
Ranges PF: V3(final): 77-QQ / V1: 55+ / Hero: AhKd
Final Equity: 33.3% / 32.3% / 34.3%
again, pretty goddamn close.
My ROI isn't awesome. 1/3 of the time, +239BB. 2/3 of the time, -101BB. So avg ROI is 36%. Invest 101BB to gain 36BB. Worth it?
Look at the sequence. UTG raise, I 3bet, SS 4bets all-in, UTG coldcalls (uh oh). I love my play with AA/KK, and that's what I was representing. Plenty of fold equity there, as V3 is superdeep.
Goddamn. This is too tough to do at work right now. Let's just say that I am ambivalent about my play, love the V1's play, and mildly dislike V3's play. He was definitely tiliting positively, hitting everything in sight, and counting on hitting everything. I guess I'd do it again.
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