Monday, December 17, 2007
More Long Term Thinking
Need to get these goals out while they're fresh in my head. (thought process courtesy of malfaire and his email regarding The Steps AKA How to Never Go Broke).
Basically, the process is:
1) Have the minimum of 30 buy ins
2) Win 20 BIs
3) Cash out 10 BIs
4) Repeat 4x
5) Now you have 60 BIs, and a shitload of experience. Move up.
So let's see here. Let's just consider November. Even though it was a heater month, December is going much the same way (but is only half over).
November stats
NL 10 5.4K hands 12.58 BB/100
NL 25 2.2K hands 14.38 BB/100
Total 7.6K hands 13.29 BB/100
Bankroll to date: ~$560
So in November I gained X BIs =
[(13.29 BB/100 hands)*(1 BI / 50 BB)*(7600 hands / month)]
where X ~ 20.2
This means that, all things remaining the same (sick winrate, very little working out, 2-tabling at UB, X amount of hours/day), I'll be at NL25 by FEBRUARY.
reality bites.
I guess that's why they call this a grind...
things to think about changing: poker sites, # of tables played, life scheduling (restrict/expand playing time), tournament skill, playing SnGs/MTTs if I find myself with extra time, etc.
Basically, the process is:
1) Have the minimum of 30 buy ins
2) Win 20 BIs
3) Cash out 10 BIs
4) Repeat 4x
5) Now you have 60 BIs, and a shitload of experience. Move up.
So let's see here. Let's just consider November. Even though it was a heater month, December is going much the same way (but is only half over).
November stats
NL 10 5.4K hands 12.58 BB/100
NL 25 2.2K hands 14.38 BB/100
Total 7.6K hands 13.29 BB/100
Bankroll to date: ~$560
So in November I gained X BIs =
[(13.29 BB/100 hands)*(1 BI / 50 BB)*(7600 hands / month)]
where X ~ 20.2
This means that, all things remaining the same (sick winrate, very little working out, 2-tabling at UB, X amount of hours/day), I'll be at NL25 by FEBRUARY.
reality bites.
I guess that's why they call this a grind...
things to think about changing: poker sites, # of tables played, life scheduling (restrict/expand playing time), tournament skill, playing SnGs/MTTs if I find myself with extra time, etc.
Thursday, December 6, 2007
Suckouts, I Has Them
(thinly veiled brag/variance post, for kicks only)
Here, I was 20-1 when the money went in....LOLLL
onegreenchip is at seat 0 with $15.74.
Leotheel is at seat 1 with $3.31.
pokeriffic is at seat 2 with $15.11.
proimage is at seat 3 with $11.89.
QuattroFour4 is at seat 4 with $18.78.
fish1954 is at seat 5 with $10.82.
The button is at seat 4.
fish1954 posts the small blind of $.05.
onegreenchip posts the big blind of $.10.
onegreenchip: Kd Td
Leotheel: -- --
pokeriffic: -- --
proimage: -- --
QuattroFour4: -- --
fish1954: -- --
Pre-flop:
Leotheel folds. pokeriffic calls. proimage folds. QuattroFour4 folds. fish1954 calls. onegreenchip checks.
Flop (board: 8s 2h Th):
fish1954 bets $2.75. onegreenchip goes all-in for$15.64. pokeriffic folds. fish1954 goes all-in for$10.72. onegreenchip is returned $4.92 (uncalled).
Turn (board: 8s 2h Th Tc):
(no action in this round)
River (board: 8s 2h Th Tc Ks):
(no action in this round)
Showdown:
onegreenchip shows Kd Td.
onegreenchip has Kd Td Th Tc Ks: full house, tens full of kings.
fish1954 shows 2c 2s.
fish1954 has 2c 2s 2h Th Tc: full house, deuces full of tens.
onegreenchip wins $20.66 with full house, tens full of kings.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Here I'm getting decent pot odds to call w/ any hand. Flop is checked, I turn two pair. Weee!! I am preparing to raise any bet. One villain minreraises -- indicator of strength at this level. I don't care, and donkpush. Poker god loves meeeeee
onegreenchip is at seat 0 with $31.94.
MrBlunt2You is at seat 1 with $40.49.
quarVAX is at seat 2 with $45.55.
johnnyd73 is at seat 3 with $38.53.
pretty24 is at seat 4 with $22.51.
The button is at seat 4.
onegreenchip posts the small blind of $.10.
MrBlunt2You posts the big blind of $.25.
onegreenchip: 4c 7s
MrBlunt2You: -- --
quarVAX: -- --
johnnyd73: -- --
pretty24: -- --
Pre-flop:
quarVAX calls. johnnyd73 calls. pretty24 calls.onegreenchip calls. MrBlunt2You checks.
Flop (board: Tc 9s 4s):
onegreenchip checks. MrBlunt2You checks. quarVAXchecks. johnnyd73 checks. pretty24 checks.
Turn (board: Tc 9s 4s 7c):
onegreenchip checks. MrBlunt2You checks. quarVAXbets $1.25. johnnyd73 raises to $5. pretty24 folds.onegreenchip goes all-in for $31.69. MrBlunt2Youfolds. quarVAX calls. johnnyd73 goes all-in for$38.28. quarVAX calls.
River (board: Tc 9s 4s 7c 4d):
(no action in this round)
Showdown:
johnnyd73 shows 8c 6s.
johnnyd73 has 8c 6s Tc 9s 7c: straight, ten high.
onegreenchip shows 4c 7s.
onegreenchip has 4c 7s 4s 7c 4d: full house, fours full of sevens.
quarVAX shows 8h 6h.
quarVAX has 8h 6h Tc 9s 7c: straight, ten high.
onegreenchip wins the main pot $94.32 with full house, fours full of sevens.
quarVAX wins the side pot $6.60 of a $13.18 pot with straight, ten high.
johnnyd73 wins the side pot $6.58 of a $13.18 pot with straight, ten high.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Villain's first hand at the table...multitabling TAG that saw me sitting 300BB deep and came to get a piece...I 3bet in position, Cbet/float the flop, and my card hits on the turn. He had me so dominated pre-flop....less of a suckout than the others, though.
QuintupleWar is at seat 0 with $36.28.
riverton75 is at seat 1 with $34.07.
Irishone76 is at seat 2 with $24.75.
onegreenchip is at seat 3 with $74.47.
Mr Paris is at seat 4 with $4.59.
_DrAzTiK_ is at seat 5 with $32.24.
The button is at seat 4.
_DrAzTiK_ posts the small blind of $.10.
QuintupleWar posts the big blind of $.25.
QuintupleWar: -- --
riverton75: -- --
Irishone76: -- --
onegreenchip: As Qh
Mr Paris: -- --
_DrAzTiK_: -- --
Pre-flop:
riverton75 folds. Irishone76 raises to $.85.onegreenchip re-raises to $3. Mr Paris folds. _DrAzTiK_ folds. QuintupleWar folds. Irishone76calls.
Flop (board: 5h Th Jd):
Irishone76 checks. onegreenchip bets $5. Irishone76calls.
Turn (board: 5h Th Jd Kc):
Irishone76 checks. onegreenchip bets $16.35.Irishone76 calls.
River (board: 5h Th Jd Kc 9c):
Irishone76 checks. onegreenchip bets $.40.Irishone76 goes all-in for $.40.
Showdown:
onegreenchip shows As Qh.
onegreenchip has As Qh Th Jd Kc: straight, ace high.
Irishone76 shows Ks Ac.
Irishone76 has Ks Ac Th Jd Kc: a pair of kings.
onegreenchip wins $47.87 with straight, ace high.
----------------------------------------------------------------
I turn quads after getting it all in on the flop vs a flopped baby flush. Standard.
jl815 is at seat 0 with $9.59.
thurobredED is at seat 1 with $19.42.
Humper 2 is at seat 2 with $12.46.
MANIACCCCC is at seat 3 with $30.56.
onegreenchip is at seat 4 with $22.20.
duckym is at seat 5 with $9.85.
The button is at seat 5.
jl815 posts the small blind of $.05.
thurobredED posts the big blind of $.10.
jl815: -- --
thurobredED: -- --
Humper 2: -- --
MANIACCCCC: -- --
onegreenchip: Ks Kh
duckym: -- --
Pre-flop:
Humper 2 folds. MANIACCCCC folds. onegreenchipraises to $.40. duckym calls. jl815 folds. thurobredED folds.
Flop (board: 2c Kc Qc):
onegreenchip checks. duckym bets $.95. onegreenchipraises to $2. duckym re-raises to $6.95. onegreenchip goes all-in for $21.80. duckym goesall-in for $9.45. onegreenchip is returned $12.35(uncalled).
Turn (board: 2c Kc Qc Kd):
(no action in this round)
River (board: 2c Kc Qc Kd 5h):
(no action in this round)
Showdown:
onegreenchip shows Ks Kh.
onegreenchip has Ks Kh Kc Qc Kd: four kings.
duckym shows 4c 7c.
duckym has 4c 7c 2c Kc Qc: flush, king high.
onegreenchip wins $18.86 with four kings.
----------------------------------------------------------------
the next post will have more hands where I took a bad/wrong line, and what I should have done differently. BUT....I need to be reminded that variance works in my favor sometimes.
Here, I was 20-1 when the money went in....LOLLL
onegreenchip is at seat 0 with $15.74.
Leotheel is at seat 1 with $3.31.
pokeriffic is at seat 2 with $15.11.
proimage is at seat 3 with $11.89.
QuattroFour4 is at seat 4 with $18.78.
fish1954 is at seat 5 with $10.82.
The button is at seat 4.
fish1954 posts the small blind of $.05.
onegreenchip posts the big blind of $.10.
onegreenchip: Kd Td
Leotheel: -- --
pokeriffic: -- --
proimage: -- --
QuattroFour4: -- --
fish1954: -- --
Pre-flop:
Leotheel folds. pokeriffic calls. proimage folds. QuattroFour4 folds. fish1954 calls. onegreenchip checks.
Flop (board: 8s 2h Th):
fish1954 bets $2.75. onegreenchip goes all-in for$15.64. pokeriffic folds. fish1954 goes all-in for$10.72. onegreenchip is returned $4.92 (uncalled).
Turn (board: 8s 2h Th Tc):
(no action in this round)
River (board: 8s 2h Th Tc Ks):
(no action in this round)
Showdown:
onegreenchip shows Kd Td.
onegreenchip has Kd Td Th Tc Ks: full house, tens full of kings.
fish1954 shows 2c 2s.
fish1954 has 2c 2s 2h Th Tc: full house, deuces full of tens.
onegreenchip wins $20.66 with full house, tens full of kings.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Here I'm getting decent pot odds to call w/ any hand. Flop is checked, I turn two pair. Weee!! I am preparing to raise any bet. One villain minreraises -- indicator of strength at this level. I don't care, and donkpush. Poker god loves meeeeee
onegreenchip is at seat 0 with $31.94.
MrBlunt2You is at seat 1 with $40.49.
quarVAX is at seat 2 with $45.55.
johnnyd73 is at seat 3 with $38.53.
pretty24 is at seat 4 with $22.51.
The button is at seat 4.
onegreenchip posts the small blind of $.10.
MrBlunt2You posts the big blind of $.25.
onegreenchip: 4c 7s
MrBlunt2You: -- --
quarVAX: -- --
johnnyd73: -- --
pretty24: -- --
Pre-flop:
quarVAX calls. johnnyd73 calls. pretty24 calls.onegreenchip calls. MrBlunt2You checks.
Flop (board: Tc 9s 4s):
onegreenchip checks. MrBlunt2You checks. quarVAXchecks. johnnyd73 checks. pretty24 checks.
Turn (board: Tc 9s 4s 7c):
onegreenchip checks. MrBlunt2You checks. quarVAXbets $1.25. johnnyd73 raises to $5. pretty24 folds.onegreenchip goes all-in for $31.69. MrBlunt2Youfolds. quarVAX calls. johnnyd73 goes all-in for$38.28. quarVAX calls.
River (board: Tc 9s 4s 7c 4d):
(no action in this round)
Showdown:
johnnyd73 shows 8c 6s.
johnnyd73 has 8c 6s Tc 9s 7c: straight, ten high.
onegreenchip shows 4c 7s.
onegreenchip has 4c 7s 4s 7c 4d: full house, fours full of sevens.
quarVAX shows 8h 6h.
quarVAX has 8h 6h Tc 9s 7c: straight, ten high.
onegreenchip wins the main pot $94.32 with full house, fours full of sevens.
quarVAX wins the side pot $6.60 of a $13.18 pot with straight, ten high.
johnnyd73 wins the side pot $6.58 of a $13.18 pot with straight, ten high.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Villain's first hand at the table...multitabling TAG that saw me sitting 300BB deep and came to get a piece...I 3bet in position, Cbet/float the flop, and my card hits on the turn. He had me so dominated pre-flop....less of a suckout than the others, though.
QuintupleWar is at seat 0 with $36.28.
riverton75 is at seat 1 with $34.07.
Irishone76 is at seat 2 with $24.75.
onegreenchip is at seat 3 with $74.47.
Mr Paris is at seat 4 with $4.59.
_DrAzTiK_ is at seat 5 with $32.24.
The button is at seat 4.
_DrAzTiK_ posts the small blind of $.10.
QuintupleWar posts the big blind of $.25.
QuintupleWar: -- --
riverton75: -- --
Irishone76: -- --
onegreenchip: As Qh
Mr Paris: -- --
_DrAzTiK_: -- --
Pre-flop:
riverton75 folds. Irishone76 raises to $.85.onegreenchip re-raises to $3. Mr Paris folds. _DrAzTiK_ folds. QuintupleWar folds. Irishone76calls.
Flop (board: 5h Th Jd):
Irishone76 checks. onegreenchip bets $5. Irishone76calls.
Turn (board: 5h Th Jd Kc):
Irishone76 checks. onegreenchip bets $16.35.Irishone76 calls.
River (board: 5h Th Jd Kc 9c):
Irishone76 checks. onegreenchip bets $.40.Irishone76 goes all-in for $.40.
Showdown:
onegreenchip shows As Qh.
onegreenchip has As Qh Th Jd Kc: straight, ace high.
Irishone76 shows Ks Ac.
Irishone76 has Ks Ac Th Jd Kc: a pair of kings.
onegreenchip wins $47.87 with straight, ace high.
----------------------------------------------------------------
I turn quads after getting it all in on the flop vs a flopped baby flush. Standard.
jl815 is at seat 0 with $9.59.
thurobredED is at seat 1 with $19.42.
Humper 2 is at seat 2 with $12.46.
MANIACCCCC is at seat 3 with $30.56.
onegreenchip is at seat 4 with $22.20.
duckym is at seat 5 with $9.85.
The button is at seat 5.
jl815 posts the small blind of $.05.
thurobredED posts the big blind of $.10.
jl815: -- --
thurobredED: -- --
Humper 2: -- --
MANIACCCCC: -- --
onegreenchip: Ks Kh
duckym: -- --
Pre-flop:
Humper 2 folds. MANIACCCCC folds. onegreenchipraises to $.40. duckym calls. jl815 folds. thurobredED folds.
Flop (board: 2c Kc Qc):
onegreenchip checks. duckym bets $.95. onegreenchipraises to $2. duckym re-raises to $6.95. onegreenchip goes all-in for $21.80. duckym goesall-in for $9.45. onegreenchip is returned $12.35(uncalled).
Turn (board: 2c Kc Qc Kd):
(no action in this round)
River (board: 2c Kc Qc Kd 5h):
(no action in this round)
Showdown:
onegreenchip shows Ks Kh.
onegreenchip has Ks Kh Kc Qc Kd: four kings.
duckym shows 4c 7c.
duckym has 4c 7c 2c Kc Qc: flush, king high.
onegreenchip wins $18.86 with four kings.
----------------------------------------------------------------
the next post will have more hands where I took a bad/wrong line, and what I should have done differently. BUT....I need to be reminded that variance works in my favor sometimes.
A View from My Opponents' Eyes
Yeaaaaaaaah. Ain't it grand when the Poker (devil) God decides that he's working for you?
So, the graph since Thanksgiving. 7.5K hands
And the graph of all time. 36K hands.
See the contrast? The CHANGE?? THE RUNNING HOTTER THAN SUPERMODEL THIGHS?!!
WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!
ready for even MORE weee??
yesterday's results:
10NL: 350 hands / $57.05 / 81.5 BB/100
50NL: 130 hands / $64.00 / 49.23 BB/100
fdajsdjf;laksdjfals!!! you say!! OGC, what exactly are you doing playing 50NL?!! you KNOW you're not rolled for it. what, you're going to play stakes you're underolled for? but you can't play your standard, aggressive style!! you can't shove over the top with impunity!! your playbook will be crippled!! etc!!
yes.
yes. I know all this. but I felt the need to gambooooool.
so I said to myself. "Self, you just ripped through these 10NLers pretty hard. You have an hour before you have to meet your girlfriend for dinner. Why don't you (mis)implement your blackjack card counting skillz0rs, take today's winnings, and play for them only at 50NL? DUZZNT THAT SOWND LIK A GRATE IDEEEAAAHHH??!!"
self: "fuck these bitches, let's see if they're ready for the 10nl balla styleeeeeee."
OGC: (high fives self, puts black sabbath on, pwns 50nl)
*do not attempt*
Tuesday, December 4, 2007
Sometimes It's Thanksgiving. Sometimes You're the Turkey.
Long, long time since I posted last. I've been running super, super, super hot.
NL25: 3,088 Hands / $228.84 / 14.82 BB/100hands
NL10: 4,379 Hands / $173.22 / 19.78 BB/100hands
I wish I could say it was more of my doing. I want to say that using REM and SPR ratios are having a positive influence on my game. I want to say that having Malfaire sweat me over Thanksgiving made my game grow by leaps and bounds.
The sad truth is that I'm winning enormous pots by 4-outers (bad), finding superfish (good), and generally getting myself involved in these lapses of he knows that I know that he knows that I know and putting money in while I'm behind.
However, this is seven thousand fucking hands in. I think I'll rake over the data now and try to post ONLY FIVE hands. No suckout hands, just ones where I made a wrong decision and why.
NL25: 3,088 Hands / $228.84 / 14.82 BB/100hands
NL10: 4,379 Hands / $173.22 / 19.78 BB/100hands
I wish I could say it was more of my doing. I want to say that using REM and SPR ratios are having a positive influence on my game. I want to say that having Malfaire sweat me over Thanksgiving made my game grow by leaps and bounds.
The sad truth is that I'm winning enormous pots by 4-outers (bad), finding superfish (good), and generally getting myself involved in these lapses of he knows that I know that he knows that I know and putting money in while I'm behind.
However, this is seven thousand fucking hands in. I think I'll rake over the data now and try to post ONLY FIVE hands. No suckout hands, just ones where I made a wrong decision and why.
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